NCEP/EMC NFCENS v1.3 Operational Verification


The NCEP/FNMOC Combined Wave Ensembles (NFCENS) product consists of a combination of wave ensemble outputs from the GEFS-Wave ensemble system, and from the wave ensembles run by the US Navy Fleet Numerical Meteorology and Ocenographic Center (FNMOC). The product combines outputs from a total of 51 wave ensemble members: one control run and 30 members from the GEFS-Wave system, and 20 additional members from FNMOC.

This webpage provides information on operational NFCENS forecast skill.
Please use the links on the left to navigate to NFCENS verification statistics.


Additional Information:

GEFS-Wave uses WAVEWATCH III (WW3), which is a community wave modeling framework that includes the latest scientific advancements in the field of wind-wave modeling and dynamics. You can learn more about WW3 here.

The current operational version of the NFCENS is version 1.3 as of 2016 March 14. The service change notice can be found here. Verification for the operational GFS and other operational global models can be found by navigating the links to the left.

Verification is done using the EMC Verification System (EVS), which uses METplus.