CAM Bias-Corrected Root Mean Square Error and Mean Error (Bias): 2-m Temperature
Description: A Bias-corrected Root Mean Square Error (BCRMSE; solid line) score of 0.0 represents highly skillful 2-m temperature forecasts across the western contiguous United States. A Mean Error (ME; dashed line) of 0.0 represents forecasts that are neither too hot nor too cold. The y-axis represents the BCRMSE and ME in °F, and the x-axis represents the number of hours between the forecast issuance and valid time (i.e., lead time). Different colored lines represent different models, according to the legend. The grey numbers above the plot represent the number of forecasts used to calculate BCRMSE and ME.



Description: A Bias-corrected Root Mean Square Error (BCRMSE; solid line) score of 0.0 represents highly skillful 2-m temperature forecasts across the central contiguous United States. A Mean Error (ME; dashed line) of 0.0 represents forecasts that are neither too hot nor too cold. The y-axis represents the BCRMSE and ME in °F, and the x-axis represents the number of hours between the forecast issuance and valid time (i.e., lead time). Different colored lines represent different models, according to the legend. The grey numbers above the plot represent the number of forecasts used to calculate BCRMSE and ME.



Description: A Bias-corrected Root Mean Square Error (BCRMSE; solid line) score of 0.0 represents highly skillful 2-m temperature forecasts across the eastern contiguous United States. A Mean Error (ME; dashed line) of 0.0 represents forecasts that are neither too hot nor too cold. The y-axis represents the BCRMSE and ME in °F, and the x-axis represents the number of hours between the forecast issuance and valid time (i.e., lead time). Different colored lines represent different models, according to the legend. The grey numbers above the plot represent the number of forecasts used to calculate BCRMSE and ME.



Description: A Bias-corrected Root Mean Square Error (BCRMSE; solid line) score of 0.0 represents highly skillful 2-m temperature forecasts across the southern contiguous United States. A Mean Error (ME; dashed line) of 0.0 represents forecasts that are neither too hot nor too cold. The y-axis represents the BCRMSE and ME in °F, and the x-axis represents the number of hours between the forecast issuance and valid time (i.e., lead time). Different colored lines represent different models, according to the legend. The grey numbers above the plot represent the number of forecasts used to calculate BCRMSE and ME.



Description: A Bias-corrected Root Mean Square Error (BCRMSE; solid line) score of 0.0 represents highly skillful 2-m temperature forecasts across Alaska. A Mean Error (ME; dashed line) of 0.0 represents forecasts that are neither too hot nor too cold. The y-axis represents the BCRMSE and ME in °F, and the x-axis represents the number of hours between the forecast issuance and valid time (i.e., lead time). Different colored lines represent different models, according to the legend. The grey numbers above the plot represent the number of forecasts used to calculate BCRMSE and ME.



Description: A Bias-corrected Root Mean Square Error (BCRMSE; solid line) score of 0.0 represents highly skillful 2-m temperature forecasts across Hawaii. A Mean Error (ME; dashed line) of 0.0 represents forecasts that are neither too hot nor too cold. The y-axis represents the BCRMSE and ME in °F, and the x-axis represents the number of hours between the forecast issuance and valid time (i.e., lead time). Different colored lines represent different models, according to the legend. The grey numbers above the plot represent the number of forecasts used to calculate BCRMSE and ME.