Global Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Frequency Bias (≥26.5C)
RTOFS Forecast vs. GHRSST Data (Time Series)

RTOFS Forecast vs. NDBC Buoys (Time Series)

RTOFS Forecast vs. Argo Floats (Time Series)
Description: Frequency Bias (FBIAS) is defined as the ratio of the total number of forecasts for an event (hits + false alarms) to the total number of observed events (hits + misses). The perfect value for FBIAS for a specific valid date is 1. An FBIAS less than 1 for temperatures ≥26.5C indicates the event was not forecasted frequently enough while the FBIAS greater than 1 indicates the event was forecasted too frequently. Valid dates are shown along the x-axis.





RTOFS Forecast vs. GHRSST Data (Mean vs. Forecast Lead Time)

RTOFS Forecast vs. NDBC Buoys (Mean vs. Forecast Lead Time)

RTOFS Forecast vs. Argo Floats (Mean vs. Forecast Lead Time)
Description: Frequency Bias (FBIAS) is defined as the ratio of the total number of forecasts for an event (hits + false alarms) to the total number of observed events (hits + misses). The perfect value for FBIAS for a specific forecast length is 1. An FBIAS less than 1 for temperatures ≥26.5C indicates the event was not forecasted frequently enough while the FBIAS greater than 1 indicates the event was forecasted too frequently. Forecast lengths (i.e., forecast lead times) are shown along the x-axis.