Global Deterministic Models: Absolute Track Error
Description: Absolute Track Error is defined as the great-circle distance between a storm’s forecast position and its observed position (i.e., NHC Best Track) at the forecast verification time. Absolute Track Error values are shown along the y-axis in nautical miles (nm), with values closer to 0.0 indicating more accurate absolute track forecasts. Forecast hours are shown along the x-axis. This plot shows the average Absolute Track Error from all storms that formed in the North Atlantic during the 2023 Hurricane Season.



Description: Absolute Track Error is defined as the great-circle distance between a storm’s forecast position and its observed position (i.e., NHC Best Track) at the forecast verification time. Absolute Track Error values are shown along the y-axis in nautical miles (nm), with values closer to 0.0 indicating more accurate absolute track forecasts. Forecast hours are shown along the x-axis. This plot shows the average Absolute Track Error from all storms that formed in the East Pacific during the 2023 Hurricane Season.



Description: Absolute Track Error is defined as the great-circle distance between a storm’s forecast position and its observed position (i.e., JTWC Best Track) at the forecast verification time. Absolute Track Error values are shown along the y-axis in nautical miles (nm), with values closer to 0.0 indicating more accurate absolute track forecasts. Forecast hours are shown along the x-axis. This plot shows the average Absolute Track Error from all storms that formed in the West Pacific during the 2023 Hurricane Season.