ALL COORDINATES ARE IN LAT-LON
ALL LATITUDES ARE FROM WEST OF GREENICH
ALL TIMES ARE YYMMDDHHMM IN UTC TIME
DATE AND TIME OF REQUEST: 9901111800
DATE AND TIME OF TAKE-OFF: Around 9901121900
COORDINATES OF TURNING POINTS ON FLIGHT: Use North Pacific Track #16
Anchorage
45N 166W
40N 164W Control time: 9901130000
(no later than: 9901130600)
40N 157W
48N 152W
Anchorage
DESIRED LEVEL OF DROPSONDE RELEASE: Highest level possible
TOTAL NUMBER OF DROPSONDES REQUESTED: Approximately 20
COORDINATES OF DROPSONDES:
At each turning point, plus, on average, one every half hour between
turning points. If a sonde fails, please try to replace it immediately.
The sensitive area is south of 47N; the frequency of sondes here could
be increased to 20-25 mins (and decreased elsewhere, if necessary).
COMMENTS: We may request a flight centered around 00Z 98011500.
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
NATURE OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: Low pressure waves reaching the Washington, then the Oregon and Northern California coast, causing 2-3 inches of precipitation in the coastal areas.
TIME OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: 990114120000
LOCATION OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: 47.5N 125W
FLIGHT PLAN BASED ON SENSITIVITY RESULTS FROM:
Ensemble Transform technique, using NCEP ensemble from 99011100
(time window: 99011300-9901141200)
COMMENTS: The most sensitive area is further S of the requested track
(centered around 35N 165W). The sensitivity chart can be seen at:
http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/targobs/target/targetedobs.html
REQUEST FOR C-130 FLIGHT FROM NCEP
ALL COORDINATES ARE IN LAT-LON
ALL LATITUDES ARE FROM WEST OF GREENICH
ALL TIMES ARE YYMMDDHHMM IN UTC TIME
DATE AND TIME OF REQUEST: 9901141800
DATE AND TIME OF TAKE-OFF: Around 9901151900
COORDINATES OF TURNING POINTS ON FLIGHT: Use North Pacific Track #16
Anchorage
45N 166W
40N 164W Control time: 9901160000
(no later than: 9901160600)
40N 157W
48N 152W
Anchorage
DESIRED LEVEL OF DROPSONDE RELEASE: Highest level possible
TOTAL NUMBER OF DROPSONDES REQUESTED: Approximately 20
COORDINATES OF DROPSONDES:
At each turning point, plus, on average, one every half hour between
turning points. If a sonde fails, please try to replace it immediately.
The sensitive area is south of 47N; the frequency of sondes here could
be increased to 20-25 mins (and decreased elsewhere, if necessary).
COMMENTS: We may request a flight centered around 98011700 or 99011800.
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
NATURE OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: Low pressure wave reaching the northern California - southern Oregon coast, producing up to 3 inches of precipitation.
TIME OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: 990117120000
LOCATION OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: 42.5N 125W
FLIGHT PLAN BASED ON SENSITIVITY RESULTS FROM:
Ensemble Transform technique, using NCEP ensemble from 99011400
Ensemble Transform technique, using ECMWF ensemble from 99011312
(time window for both calculations: 99011600-9901171200)
COMMENTS: The most sensitive area is further S of the requested track
(centered around 35N 165W). The sensitivity charts and other pertinent
information can be seen at:
http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/targobs/target/targetedobs.html
REQUEST FOR C-130 FLIGHT FROM NCEP
ALL COORDINATES ARE IN LAT-LON
ALL LATITUDES ARE FROM WEST OF GREENICH
ALL TIMES ARE YYMMDDHHMM IN UTC TIME
DATE AND TIME OF REQUEST: 9901151800
DATE AND TIME OF TAKE-OFF: Around 9901161900
COORDINATES OF TURNING POINTS ON FLIGHT: Use North Pacific Track #20
Anchorage
45N 149W
42N 148W Control time: 9901170000
(no later than: 9901170600)
45N 137W
50N 140W
Anchorage
DESIRED LEVEL OF DROPSONDE RELEASE: Highest level possible
TOTAL NUMBER OF DROPSONDES REQUESTED: Approximately 20
COORDINATES OF DROPSONDES:
At each turning point, plus, on average, one every half hour between
turning points. If a sonde fails, please try to replace it immediately.
The sensitive area is south of 47N; the frequency of sondes here could
be increased to 20-25 mins (and decreased elsewhere, if necessary).
COMMENTS: At the same time, the G-lV will fly out of Honolulu, into the area around 32.5N, 162W. We may request a flight centered around 98011800.
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
NATURE OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) Low pressure wave (second in a row, associated with a cold front) reaching the northern California - southern Oregon coast, producing up to 3 inches of precipitation. (2) Closed low traveling to the northeast coast, producing up to 2 inches of precipitation.
TIME OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) 9901180000; (2) 99011912
LOCATION OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) 42.5N 125W; (2) 42.5N 75W
FLIGHT PLAN BASED ON SENSITIVITY RESULTS FROM:
Ensemble Transform technique, using NCEP ensemble from 99011400
(time windows for calculations: 99011700-9901180000 and 99011700-99011912)
COMMENTS: The latest NCEP and ECMWF ensembles, due to problems caused
by power outages, were not available. The sensitivity charts and other
pertinent information can be seen at:
http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/targobs/target/targetedobs.html
REQUEST FOR G-lV FLIGHT FROM NCEP
ALL COORDINATES ARE IN LAT-LON
ALL LATITUDES ARE FROM WEST OF GREENICH
ALL TIMES ARE YYMMDDHHMM IN UTC TIME
DATE AND TIME OF REQUEST: 9901151800
DATE AND TIME OF TAKE-OFF: Around 9901162100
COORDINATES OF TURNING POINTS ON FLIGHT:
Honolulu
30N 156.5W
35N 159W
36N 164.5W Control time: 9901170000
Z (no later than: 9901170600)
32N 168W
27.5N 166W
Honolulu
DESIRED LEVEL OF DROPSONDE RELEASE: Highest level possible
TOTAL NUMBER OF DROPSONDES REQUESTED: Approximately 16
COORDINATES OF DROPSONDES:
At each turning point, plus, on average, one every 15-20 mins between
turning points. If a sonde fails, please try to replace it immediately.
The most sensitive area is norht of 26N; the frequency of sondes here could
be increased to 10-15 mins (and decreased elsewhere, if necessary).
COMMENTS: The track can be flown either clockwise or counter-clockwise. At the same time, a C-130 plane will fly out of Anchorage, into the area around 42N, 142W. We may request a flight centered around 98011800.
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
NATURE OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: Low pressure wave (second in a row, associated with a cold front) reaching the northern California - southern Oregon coast, producing up to 3 inches of precipitation.
TIME OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: 9901180000
LOCATION OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: 42.5N 125W
FLIGHT PLAN BASED ON SENSITIVITY RESULTS FROM:
Ensemble Transform technique, using NCEP ensemble from 99011400
(time window for calculations: 99011700-9901180000)
COMMENTS: The latest NCEP and ECMWF ensembles, due to problems caused
by power outages, were not available. The sensitivity charts and other
pertinent information can be seen at:
http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/targobs/target/targetedobs.html
REQUEST FOR G-lV FLIGHT FROM NCEP
ALL COORDINATES ARE IN LAT-LON
ALL TIMES ARE YYMMDDHHMM IN UTC TIME
DATE AND TIME OF REQUEST: 9901171800
DATE AND TIME OF TAKE-OFF: Around 9901182000
COORDINATES OF TURNING POINTS ON FLIGHT:
Honolulu
40N 178E Control time: 9901182330
(no later than: 9901190530)
41N 179W
Honolulu
DESIRED LEVEL OF DROPSONDE RELEASE: Highest level possible
TOTAL NUMBER OF DROPSONDES REQUESTED: Approximately 20
COORDINATES OF DROPSONDES:
At each turning point, plus, on average, one every 15-20 mins between
turning points. If a sonde fails, please try to replace it immediately.
The most sensitive area is west of 175W; the frequency of sondes here could
be increased to 10-15 mins (and decreased elsewhere, if necessary).
COMMENTS: If the track is too long, please eliminate the second turning point and fly back directly to Hawaii from the control point. The track can be flown either clockwise or counter-clockwise. Mel Shapiro may insert additional high resolution sondes along the track which sondes will not be transmitted in real time. Also, he may lower the flight level to 35000 feet for a period of less than an hour. We may request a flight centered around 98012000, with either the G-lV or a C-130.
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
NATURE OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) Low pressure wave reaching the northern California - southern Oregon coast, producing up to 3 inches of precipitation. (2) Closed surface low, producing up to 4 inches of precipitation over the plains and possibly frozen and/or mixed precipitation east of the Appalachian.
TIME OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) 9901201200
(2) 99012212-99012300
LOCATION OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) 40N 122.55W
(2) 40N 75W (99012212)
37.5N 90W (99012300)
FLIGHT PLAN BASED ON SENSITIVITY RESULTS FROM:
Ensemble Transform technique, using NCEP ensemble from 99011700
(time windows for calculations: 99011900-9901201200, 99011900-99012212,
99011900-99012300)
REQUEST FOR G-lV FLIGHT FROM NCEP
ALL COORDINATES ARE IN LAT-LON
ALL TIMES ARE YYMMDDHHMM IN UTC TIME
DATE AND TIME OF REQUEST: 9901181800
DATE AND TIME OF TAKE-OFF: Around 9901192000
COORDINATES OF TURNING POINTS ON FLIGHT:
Honolulu
29N 178E
Control point is halfway between two turning points
Control time: 9901200000 Z (no
later than: 9901200600)
34N 179W
Honolulu
DESIRED LEVEL OF DROPSONDE RELEASE: Highest level possible
TOTAL NUMBER OF DROPSONDES REQUESTED: Approximately 20
COORDINATES OF DROPSONDES:
At each turning point, plus, on average, one every 15-20 mins between
turning points. If a sonde fails, please try to replace it immediately.
The most sensitive area is west of 170W; the frequency of sondes here could
be increased to 10-15 mins (and decreased elsewhere, if necessary).
COMMENTS: The track can be flown either clockwise or counter-clockwise. Mel Shapiro may insert additional high resolution sondes along the track which sondes will not be transmitted in real time. Also, he may lower the flight level to 35000 feet for a period of less than an hour. We requested that a C-130 plane fly a dropsonde mission centered at 99012000 along North Pacific track #19 (in the area of 42.5N, 147.5W). We may request a flight centered around 98012100, with either the G-lV or a C-130.
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
NATURE OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) Low pressure wave reaching the northern California - Oregon coast, producing more than 2 inches of precipitation. (2) Closed surface low, producing up to 2 inches of precipitation over the southeast, deepening further later on, threatening with more heavy precipitation.
TIME OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) 99012100
(2) 99012300
LOCATION OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) 42.5N 125W
(2) 35N 90W
FLIGHT PLAN BASED ON SENSITIVITY RESULTS FROM:
Ensemble Transform technique, using NCEP ensemble from 99011800, and
ECMWF ensemble from 99011712
(time windows for calculations: 99012000-99012100, 99012000-99012300
COMMENTS: This flight is more relevant to the southeast weather system.
Sensitivity charts and other related information will be available at:
http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/targobs/target/targetedobs.html
REQUEST FOR C-130 FLIGHT FROM NCEP
ALL COORDINATES ARE IN LAT-LON
ALL TIMES ARE YYMMDDHHMM IN UTC TIME
DATE AND TIME OF REQUEST: 9901181800
DATE AND TIME OF TAKE-OFF: Around 9901191900
COORDINATES OF TURNING POINTS ON FLIGHT:
Anchorage
47N 154W
42N 153W
40N 147W Control time: 99012000 (no
later than: 9901200600)
43N 142W
48N 143W
Anchorage
DESIRED LEVEL OF DROPSONDE RELEASE: Highest level possible
TOTAL NUMBER OF DROPSONDES REQUESTED: Approximately 20
COORDINATES OF DROPSONDES:
At each turning point, plus, on average, one every 15-20 mins between
turning points. If a sonde fails, please try to replace it immediately.
The most sensitive area is south of 50N; the frequency of sondes here could
be increased to 20 mins (and decreased elsewhere, if necessary).
COMMENTS: The track can be flown either clockwise or counter-clockwise. We requested that the G-lV fly a dropsonde mission centered at 99012000 into the area around 32.5N, 180W. We may request a flight centered around 98012100, with either the G-lV or a C-130.
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
NATURE OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) Low pressure wave reaching the northern California - Oregon coast, producing more than 2 inches of precipitation. (2) Closed surface low, producing up to 2 inches of precipitation over the southeast, deepening further later on, threatening with more heavy precipitation.
TIME OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) 99012100
(2) 99012300
LOCATION OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) 42.5N 125W
(2) 35N 90W
FLIGHT PLAN BASED ON SENSITIVITY RESULTS FROM:
Ensemble Transform technique, using NCEP ensemble from 99011800, and
ECMWF ensemble from 99011712
(time windows for calculations: 99012000-99012100, 99012000-99012300
COMMENTS: This flight is more relevant to the west coast weather system.
Note that this flight will also provide data for a weather system verifying
around 99012212, around 42.5N, 75W. Sensitivity charts and other related
information will be available at:
http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/targobs/target/targetedobs.html
REQUEST FOR C-130 FLIGHT FROM NCEP
ALL COORDINATES ARE IN LAT-LON
ALL TIMES ARE YYMMDDHHMM IN UTC TIME
DATE AND TIME OF REQUEST: 9901191800
DATE AND TIME OF TAKE-OFF: Around 9901201900
COORDINATES OF TURNING POINTS ON FLIGHT: North Pacific track #19
Anchorage
47N 154W
42N 153W
40N 147W Control time: 99012100 (no
later than: 9901210600)
43N 142W
48N 143W
Anchorage
DESIRED LEVEL OF DROPSONDE RELEASE: Highest level possible
TOTAL NUMBER OF DROPSONDES REQUESTED: Approximately 20
COORDINATES OF DROPSONDES:
At each turning point, plus, on average, one every 15-20 mins between
turning points. If a sonde fails, please try to replace it immediately.
The most sensitive area is south of 50N; the frequency of sondes here could
be increased to 20 mins (and decreased elsewhere, if necessary).
COMMENTS: The track can be flown either clockwise or counter-clockwise. No flight is requested for the G-lV. We may request a flight centered around 98012200, with either the G-lV or a C-130.
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
NATURE OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: Closed surface low, producing more than 2 inches of precipitation west of the Appalachian, deepening further later on, threatening with more heavy precipitation, inlcuding up to a foot of snow on its northwest side.
TIME OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: 99012300
LOCATION OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: 37.5N 87.5W
FLIGHT PLAN BASED ON SENSITIVITY RESULTS FROM:
Ensemble Transform technique, using NCEP ensemble from 99011900, and
ECMWF ensemble from 99011812
(time windows for calculations: 990121-99012300
COMMENTS: Note that this flight will also provide data for improving
the forecast of the same weather system at later times (99012400, 37.5N,
77.5W). Sensitivity charts and other related information will be available
at:
http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/targobs/target/targetedobs.html
REQUEST FOR C-130 FLIGHT FROM NCEP
ALL COORDINATES ARE IN LAT-LON
ALL TIMES ARE YYMMDDHHMM IN UTC TIME
DATE AND TIME OF REQUEST: 9901201800
DATE AND TIME OF TAKE-OFF: Around 9901211900
COORDINATES OF TURNING POINTS ON FLIGHT:
Extended version of North Pacific flight track #1
Anchorage
54.5N 160W
57N 173W
52.5N 177W Control time: 9901220000
(no later than: 9901220600)
48N 173W
51N 157W
Anchorage
DESIRED LEVEL OF DROPSONDE RELEASE: Highest level possible
TOTAL NUMBER OF DROPSONDES REQUESTED: Approximately 20
COORDINATES OF DROPSONDES: At each turning point, plus, on average, one every 30 mins between turning points. If a sonde fails, please try to replace it immediately. The most sensitive area is west of 165W are around 40N 160W and 42N 140W; the frequency of sondes there could be increased to 20-25 mins (and decreased elsewhere, if necessary).
COMMENTS: We requested that the G-lV plane fly a dropsonde mission centered at 99012200, recovering on the west coast. We expect the G-lV to return to Honolulu with a flight centered around 99012300. No C-130 flight is requested for 99012300.
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
NATURE OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) Low pressure waves reaching the northern California coast, producing more than 3 inches of precipitation. (2) Closed surface low, producing up to 3 inches of precipitation over the plains, with potential for flooding. Snow is expected on the northwest side of the low. (3) Low pressure wave reaching the Alaska coast, producing more than an inch of precipitation in the form of snow.
TIME OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) 99012400 (2) 99012312 (3)99012412
LOCATION OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) 37.5N 77.5W (2) 40N 122.5W (3) 60N 147.5W
FLIGHT PLAN BASED ON SENSITIVITY RESULTS FROM: Ensemble Transform technique, using NCEP ensemble from 99012000, and ECMWF ensemble from 99011912 (time windows for calculations: 99012200-99012400, 99012200-99012312, 99012200-99012412
COMMENTS: This flight will sample sensitive areas for the west coast
and Alaska weather events. Sensitivity charts and other related information
will be available at:
http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/targobs/target/targetedobs.html
REQUEST FOR G-lV FLIGHT FROM NCEP
ALL COORDINATES ARE IN LAT-LON
ALL TIMES ARE YYMMDDHHMM IN UTC TIME
DATE AND TIME OF REQUEST: 9901201800
DATE AND TIME OF TAKE-OFF: Around 9901212000
COORDINATES OF TURNING POINTS ON FLIGHT:
Honolulu
35N 165W
45N 155W Control time: 9901220045
Z (no later than: 9901220645)
37N 135W
41N 132W
36N 130W
Long Beach, CA (or other airport on the west coast)
DESIRED LEVEL OF DROPSONDE RELEASE: Highest level possible
TOTAL NUMBER OF DROPSONDES REQUESTED: Approximately 25
COORDINATES OF DROPSONDES: At each turning point, plus, on average, one every 15-20 mins between turning points. If a sonde fails, please try to replace it immediately. The most sensitive areas are around 40N 160W and 42N 140W; the frequency of sondes there could be increased to 10-15 mins (and decreased elsewhere, if necessary).
COMMENTS: Mel Shapiro may insert additional high resolution sondes along the track which sondes will not be transmitted in real time. We requested that a C-130 plane fly a dropsonde mission centered at 99012200 along an extended version of North Pacific track #1 (in the area of 52.5N, 173W). We expect the G-lV to return to Honolulu with a flight centered around 99012300. No C-130 flight is requested for 99012300.
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
NATURE OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) Low pressure waves reaching the northern California coast, producing more than 3 inches of precipitation. (2) Closed surface low, producing up to 3 inches of precipitation over the plains, with potential for flooding. Snow is expected on the northwest side of the low. (3) Low pressure wave reaching the Alaska coast, producing more than an inch of precipitation in the form of snow.
TIME OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) 99012400 (2) 99012312 (3)99012412
LOCATION OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) 37.5N 77.5W (2) 40N 122.5W (3) 60N 147.5W
FLIGHT PLAN BASED ON SENSITIVITY RESULTS FROM: Ensemble Transform technique, using NCEP ensemble from 99012000, and ECMWF ensemble from 99011912 (time windows for calculations: 99012200-99012400, 99012200-99012312, 99012200-99012412
COMMENTS: This is a flight jointly planned with Mel Shapiro who takes
synopticly oriented observations in the area of the last 3 turning points.
Note that the largest sensitivity to the low pressure system over the plain
is around 42N, 140W, which is not reached by the flight. Sensitivity charts
and other related information will be available at:
http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/targobs/target/targetedobs.html
REQUEST FOR C-130 FLIGHT FROM NCEP
ALL COORDINATES ARE IN LAT-LON
ALL TIMES ARE YYMMDDHHMM IN UTC TIME
DATE AND TIME OF REQUEST: 9901211800
DATE AND TIME OF TAKE-OFF: Around 9901221900
COORDINATES OF TURNING POINTS ON FLIGHT:
This new track should be considered as North Pacific track #22
Anchorage
53N 172W
57N 178W Control time: 9901230000
(no later than: 9901230600)
62N 175W
57.5N 163W
Anchorage
DESIRED LEVEL OF DROPSONDE RELEASE: Highest level possible
TOTAL NUMBER OF DROPSONDES REQUESTED: Approximately 20
COORDINATES OF DROPSONDES: At each turning point, plus, on average, one every 30 mins between turning points. If a sonde fails, please try to replace it immediately. The most sensitive area is west of 158W; the frequency of sondes there could be increased to 20-25 mins (and decreased elsewhere, if necessary).
COMMENTS: We requested that the G-lV plane fly a dropsonde mission centered at 99012300, from Long Beach, CA to Honolulu. A flight with one C-130 plane is possible around 99012400. A flight with the G-lV around 99012400 is not likely but possible.
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
NATURE OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) Low pressure wave reaching the northern California coast, producing more than 2 inches of precipitation. (2) Low pressure wave reaching the Alaska coast, producing more than an inch of precipitation in the form of snow. (3) Another precipitation producing low pressure wave hitting the northern California coast, with large forecast uncertainty.
TIME OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) 99012400 (2) 99012400 (3) 99012512
LOCATION OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) 37.5N 122.5W (2) 60N 142.5W (3) 37.5N 122.5W
FLIGHT PLAN BASED ON SENSITIVITY RESULTS FROM: Ensemble Transform technique, using NCEP ensemble from 99012100, and ECMWF ensemble from 99012012 (time windows for calculations: 99012300-99012512, 99012300-99012400, 990112300-99012512
COMMENTS: This flight samples the second and third weather events. Sensitivity
charts and other related information will be available at:
http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/targobs/target/targetedobs.html
REQUEST FOR G-lV FLIGHT FROM NCEP
ALL COORDINATES ARE IN LAT-LON
ALL TIMES ARE YYMMDDHHMM IN UTC TIME
DATE AND TIME OF REQUEST: 9901211800
DATE AND TIME OF TAKE-OFF: Around 9901222000
COORDINATES OF TURNING POINTS ON FLIGHT:
Long Beach
45N 142.5W Control time: 9901230000
Z (no later than: 9901230600)
35N 155W
Honolulu
DESIRED LEVEL OF DROPSONDE RELEASE: Highest level possible
TOTAL NUMBER OF DROPSONDES REQUESTED: Approximately 20-25
COORDINATES OF DROPSONDES: At each turning point, plus, on average, one every 30 mins between turning points. If a sonde fails, please try to replace it immediately. The most sensitive area is north of 30N; the frequency of sondes there could be increased to 20-25 mins (and decreased elsewhere, if necessary).
COMMENTS: We would like to have the flight centered around 00 Z. If the flight is too long, please move the second turning point toward the southeast. We requested that a C-130 plane fly a dropsonde mission centered at 99012300, in the area of 57N, 172W. A flight with one C-130 plane is possible around 99012400. A flight with the G-lV around 99012400 is not likely but possible.
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
NATURE OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) Low pressure wave reaching the northern California coast, producing more than 2 inches of precipitation. (2) Low pressure wave reaching the Alaska coast, producing more than an inch of precipitation in the form of snow. (3) Another precipitation producing low pressure wave hitting the northern California coast, with large forecast uncertainty.
TIME OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) 99012400 (2) 99012400 (3) 99012512
LOCATION OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) 37.5N 122.5W (2) 60N 142.5W (3) 37.5N 122.5W
FLIGHT PLAN BASED ON SENSITIVITY RESULTS FROM: Ensemble Transform technique, using NCEP ensemble from 99012100, and ECMWF ensemble from 99012012 (time windows for calculations: 99012300-99012512, 99012300-99012400, 990112300-99012512
COMMENTS: This flight samples sensitive areas for all three weather
events. Sensitivity charts and other related information will be available
at:
http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/targobs/target/targetedobs.html
REQUEST FOR C-130 FLIGHT FROM NCEP
ALL COORDINATES ARE IN LAT-LON
ALL TIMES ARE YYMMDDHHMM IN UTC TIME
DATE AND TIME OF REQUEST: 9901241800
DATE AND TIME OF TAKE-OFF: Around 9901251900
COORDINATES OF TURNING POINTS ON FLIGHT: North Pacific track #1
Anchorage
54.5N 160W
57N 168W
52.5N 172W Control time: 9901260000
(no later than: 9901260600)
48N 168W
51N 157W
Anchorage
DESIRED LEVEL OF DROPSONDE RELEASE: Highest level possible
TOTAL NUMBER OF DROPSONDES REQUESTED: Approximately 20
COORDINATES OF DROPSONDES: At each turning point, plus, on average, one every 30 mins between turning points. If a sonde fails, please try to replace it immediately. The most sensitive area is west of 155W; the frequency of sondes there could be increased to 20-25 mins (and decreased elsewhere, if necessary).
COMMENTS: No G-lV flight is requested for 99012600. Either a C-130, or a G-lV flight is possible around 99012700.
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
NATURE OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) Low pressure wave reaching the Alaska coast, producing more than an inch of precipitation in the form of snow. (2) Low pressure wave reaching the northern Washington coast, producing more than 3 inches of precipitation. (3) A possible precipitation producing low pressure wave developing over New Mexico; (4) Low pressure system, with up to 3 inches of precipitation east of the Appalachian
TIME OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) 99012700 (2) 99012812 (3) 99012812 (4) 99012900
LOCATION OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) 60N 140W (2) 50N 125W (3) 35N 110W 40N 87.5W
FLIGHT PLAN BASED ON SENSITIVITY RESULTS FROM: Ensemble Transform technique, using NCEP ensemble from 99012400, and ECMWF ensemble from 99012312 (time windows for calculations: 99012600-99012700, 99012600-99012812, 990112600-99012900
COMMENTS: For longer than 24-hour time windows, the sensitivity results
based on the NCEP and ECMWF ensembles differ. The flight plan is based
more on guidance using the ECMWF ensemble. Objective sensitivity calculations
have been performed on 20 predesigned flight tracks. Sensitivity charts
and other related information will be available at:
http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/targobs/target/targetedobs.html
Please pass to Jon Talbot
REQUEST FOR C-130 FLIGHT FROM NCEP
ALL COORDINATES ARE IN LAT-LON
ALL TIMES ARE YYMMDDHHMM IN UTC TIME
DATE AND TIME OF REQUEST: 9901251800
DATE AND TIME OF TAKE-OFF: Around 9901261800
COORDINATES OF TURNING POINTS ON FLIGHT: Please save this flight
track as North Pacific track #23
Anchorage
53N 160W
52N 172W
47N 175W Control time: 9901270000
(no later than: 9901270600)
42.5N 170W
47N 158W
Anchorage
DESIRED LEVEL OF DROPSONDE RELEASE: Highest level possible
TOTAL NUMBER OF DROPSONDES REQUESTED: Approximately 20-25
COORDINATES OF DROPSONDES: At each turning point, plus, on average, one every 30 mins between turning points. If a sonde fails, please try to replace it immediately. The most sensitive area is around the control point; the frequency of sondes there could be increased to 20-25 mins (and decreased elsewhere, if necessary). We ask that if there are enough dropsondes, additional dropsondes be released on the two legs around the control point (for a frequency of every 10-15 mins), but transmit only every second drop (at a frequency of 20-25 mins) from that area in real time.
COMMENTS: No G-lV flight is requested for 99012700. We will likely request a C-130 flight centered around 99012800; a G-lV flight is also possible around 99012800.
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
NATURE OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) The first low pressure wave in a series reaching the Washington-Oregon coast, producing at least 2-3 inches of precipitation within 24 hrs. (2) Low pressure system over the eastern US, with more than 2 inches of precipitation.
TIME OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) 99012900 (2) 99013000, 99013012
LOCATION OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) 47.5N 125W (2) 37.5N 85W, 35N 75W
FLIGHT PLAN BASED ON SENSITIVITY RESULTS FROM: Ensemble Transform technique, using NCEP ensemble from 99012500, and ECMWF ensemble from 99012412 (time windows for calculations: 99012700-99012900, 99012700-99013000, 990112700-99013012
COMMENTS: Objective sensitivity calculations have been performed on
23 predesigned flight tracks. Also, the impact of the data on the forecasts
have been estimated. Sensitivity charts and other related information will
be available at:
http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/targobs/target/targetedobs.html
Please pass to Jon Talbot
REQUEST FOR C-130 FLIGHT FROM NCEP
ALL COORDINATES ARE IN LAT-LON
ALL TIMES ARE YYMMDDHHMM IN UTC TIME
DATE AND TIME OF REQUEST: 9901261800
DATE AND TIME OF TAKE-OFF: Around 9901271800
COORDINATES OF TURNING POINTS ON FLIGHT: North Pacific track #23
Anchorage
53N 160W
52N 172W
47N 175W Control time: 9901280000
(no later than: 9901280600)
42.5N 170W
47N 158W
Anchorage
DESIRED LEVEL OF DROPSONDE RELEASE: Highest level possible
TOTAL NUMBER OF DROPSONDES REQUESTED: Approximately 20-25
COORDINATES OF DROPSONDES: At each turning point, plus, on average, one every 30 mins between turning points. If a sonde fails, please try to replace it immediately. The most sensitive area is around the control point; the frequency of sondes there could be increased to 20-25 mins (and decreased elsewhere, if necessary). We ask that if there are enough dropsondes, 6 additional dropsondes be released on the southern leg, between 166W and 160W (for a frequency of every 10-15 mins), but transmit only every second drop (at a frequency of 25 mins or so) from that area in real time.
COMMENTS: No G-lV flight is requested for 99012800. We will likely request a C-130 flight centered around 99012900; a G-lV flight is also possible around 99012900.
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
NATURE OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) Low pressure waves reaching the Washington-Oregon coast, producing 5-7 inches of precipitation. (2) Low pressure wave reaching the northern California coast, producing 2 inches of precipitation.
TIME OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) 99012912-99013012 (2) 99013012
LOCATION OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) 50N 125W (2) 40N 125W
FLIGHT PLAN BASED ON SENSITIVITY RESULTS FROM: Ensemble Transform technique, using NCEP ensemble from 99012600, and ECMWF ensemble from 99012512 (time windows for calculations: 99012800-99012912, -99013000, -99013012; 99012800-99013012)
COMMENTS: Objective sensitivity calculations have been performed on
23 predesigned flight tracks. Also, the impact of the data on the forecasts
have been estimated. Sensitivity charts and other related information will
be available at:
http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/targobs/target/targetedobs.html
REQUEST FOR C-130 FLIGHT FROM NCEP
ALL COORDINATES ARE IN LAT-LON
ALL TIMES ARE YYMMDDHHMM IN UTC TIME
DATE AND TIME OF REQUEST: 9901271800
DATE AND TIME OF TAKE-OFF: Around 9901281800
COORDINATES OF TURNING POINTS ON FLIGHT: North Pacific track #18
Anchorage
50N 156W
43N 157W
40N 152W Control time: 9901290000
(no later than: 9901290600)
42N 147W
50N 146W
Anchorage
DESIRED LEVEL OF DROPSONDE RELEASE: Highest level possible
TOTAL NUMBER OF DROPSONDES REQUESTED: Approximately 20-25
COORDINATES OF DROPSONDES: At each turning point, plus, on average, one every 30 mins between turning points. If a sonde fails, please try to replace it immediately. The most sensitive area is south of 52N; the frequency of sondes there could be increased to 20-25 mins (and decreased elsewhere, if necessary). We ask that if there are enough dropsondes, 6-8 additional dropsondes be released on the two legs between 50N 156W and 40N 152W (for a frequency of every 10-15 mins), but transmit only every second drop (at a frequency of 25 mins or so) from that area in real time.
COMMENTS: No G-lV flight is requested for 99012900. We will likely request a C-130 flight centered around 99013000; possible flight track #20. A G-lV flight is also possible around 99013000.
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
NATURE OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) Low pressure waves reaching the Washington-Oregon coast, producing 5-7 inches of precipitation. (2) Low pressure wave reaching the northern California coast, producing 2 inches of precipitation.
TIME OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) 99013000 (2) 99013100
LOCATION OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) 50N 125W (2) 40N 125W
FLIGHT PLAN BASED ON SENSITIVITY RESULTS FROM: Ensemble Transform technique, using NCEP ensemble from 99012700, and ECMWF ensemble from 99012612 (time windows for calculations: 99012900-99013000; 99012900-99013100)
COMMENTS: This flight should also have an impact on a low pressure system
developing around 27.5N 80W, around 99013100. Sensitivity charts and other
related information will be available at:
http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/targobs/target/targetedobs.html
REQUEST FOR C-130 FLIGHT FROM NCEP
ALL COORDINATES ARE IN LAT-LON
ALL TIMES ARE YYMMDDHHMM IN UTC TIME
DATE AND TIME OF REQUEST: 9901281800
DATE AND TIME OF TAKE-OFF: Around 9901291800
COORDINATES OF TURNING POINTS ON FLIGHT: North Pacific track #20
Anchorage
45N 149W
42N 148W
40N 141W Control time: 9901300000
(no later than: 9901300600)
45N 137W
50N 140W
Anchorage
DESIRED LEVEL OF DROPSONDE RELEASE: Highest level possible
TOTAL NUMBER OF DROPSONDES REQUESTED: Approximately 20-25
COORDINATES OF DROPSONDES: At each turning point, plus, on average, one every 30 mins between turning points. If a sonde fails, please try to replace it immediately. The most sensitive area is south of 47N; the frequency of sondes there could be increased to 20-25 mins (and decreased elsewhere, if necessary). We ask that if there are enough dropsondes, 8-10 additional dropsondes be released on the two legs between 45N 149W and 40N 141W (for a frequency of every 10-15 mins), but transmit only every second drop (at a frequency of 25 mins or so) from that area in real time.
COMMENTS: This is the last C-130 mission in the Pacific in the 1999 Winter Storm Reconnaissance program. A G-lV flight is also requested for 99013000 into the area of 37N 146W. It is likely we will not request a G-lV flight centered around 99013100.
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
NATURE OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: Low pressure wave reaching the northern California coast, producing 2 inches of precipitation.
TIME OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: 99013100
LOCATION OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: 40N 122.5W
FLIGHT PLAN BASED ON SENSITIVITY RESULTS FROM: Ensemble Transform technique, using NCEP ensemble from 99012800, and ECMWF ensemble from 99012712 (time windows for calculations: 99013000-99013100; 99013000-99020112; 99013000-99020300)
COMMENTS: This flight should also have an impact on a low pressure system
developing around 32.5N 80W, around 99020112, and later around 40N 77.5W,
at 99020300. Sensitivity charts and other related information will be available
at:
http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/targobs/target/targetedobs.html
REQUEST FOR G-lV FLIGHT FROM NCEP
ALL COORDINATES ARE IN LAT-LON
ALL TIMES ARE YYMMDDHHMM IN UTC TIME
DATE AND TIME OF REQUEST: 9901281800
DATE AND TIME OF TAKE-OFF: Around 9901292000
COORDINATES OF TURNING POINTS ON FLIGHT:
Honolulu
32N 142W
42N 150 Control time: 9901300000 Z
(no later than: 9901300600)
Honolulu
DESIRED LEVEL OF DROPSONDE RELEASE: Highest level possible
TOTAL NUMBER OF DROPSONDES REQUESTED: Approximately 20-25
COORDINATES OF DROPSONDES: At each turning point, plus, on average, one every 20 mins between turning points. If a sonde fails, please try to replace it immediately. Additional dropsondes will be released by SCATCAT, but will not be transmitted in real time.
COMMENTS: A C-130 flight is also requested to the area of 42.5N 142.5W. It is likely we will not request a G-lV flight centered around 99013100.
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
NATURE OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: Low pressure wave reaching the northern California coast, producing 2 inches of precipitation.
TIME OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: 99013100
LOCATION OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: 40N 122.5W
FLIGHT PLAN BASED ON: SCATCAT request.
COMMENTS: This flight was designed by SCATCAT and will be charged against
SCATCAT hours. The flight goes through an area which is weakly sensitive
to the weather feature described above. The strongly sensitive area is
to the east of the flight track.
REQUEST FOR G-lV FLIGHT FROM NCEP
ALL COORDINATES ARE IN LAT-LON
ALL TIMES ARE YYMMDDHHMM IN UTC TIME
DATE AND TIME OF REQUEST: 9902011800
DATE AND TIME OF TAKE-OFF: Around 9902022000
COORDINATES OF TURNING POINTS ON FLIGHT:
Honolulu
43N 162W
51N 145W Control time: 9902030100 (no
later than: 9902030600)
Seattle
DESIRED LEVEL OF DROPSONDE RELEASE: Highest level possible
TOTAL NUMBER OF DROPSONDES REQUESTED: Approximately 20-25
COORDINATES OF DROPSONDES: At each turning point, plus, on average, one every 20 mins between turning points. If a sonde fails, please try to replace it immediately. The most sensitive area is north of 38N, and east of 130W; the frequency of sondes there could be increased to 15 mins (and decreased elsewhere, if necessary). Mel Shapiro may insert additional dropsondes that will not be transmitted in real time.
COMMENTS: We would like to have the flight centered around 00 Z. We expect that the next flight with the G-lV will be centered around 99020500, and will recover in Anchorage. A flight around 99020600 is also likely; this flight may recover either in Anchorage or Honolulu. In case of an Anchorage recovery, we would fly back the G-lV to Honolulu around 99020700.
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
NATURE OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) Closed surface low reaching the Oregon coast, producing up to 2 inches of precipitation. (2) Low pressure wave reaching the eastern US, possibly developing a snow storm in the northeast.
TIME OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) 99020412 (2) 99020500
LOCATION OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: (1) 42.5N 122.5W (2) 42.5N 80W
FLIGHT PLAN BASED ON SENSITIVITY RESULTS FROM: Ensemble Transform technique, using NCEP ensemble from 99020100, and ECMWF ensemble from 99013112 (time windows for calculations: 99020300-99020400, 99020300-99020412, 99020300-99020500
COMMENTS: Sensitivity charts and other related information will be available
at:
http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/targobs/target/targetedobs.html
Please pass to Sean White
REQUEST FOR G-lV FLIGHT FROM NCEP
ALL COORDINATES ARE IN LAT-LON
ALL TIMES ARE YYMMDDHHMM IN UTC TIME
DATE AND TIME OF REQUEST: 9902031800
DATE AND TIME OF TAKE-OFF: Around 9902041900
COORDINATES OF TURNING POINTS ON FLIGHT:
Spokane
50N 165W Control time: 9902050000
(no later than: 9902050600)
Anchorage
DESIRED LEVEL OF DROPSONDE RELEASE: Highest level possible
TOTAL NUMBER OF DROPSONDES REQUESTED: Approximately 20-25
COORDINATES OF DROPSONDES: At each turning point, plus, on average, one every 20 mins between turning points. If a sonde fails, please try to replace it immediately. The most sensitive area is west of 140W; the frequency of sondes there could be increased to 15 mins (and decreased elsewhere, if necessary). Mel Shapiro may insert additional dropsondes that will not be transmitted in real time.
COMMENTS: We would like to have the flight centered around 00 Z. We expect that the next flight with the G-lV will be centered around 99020600, and will likely recover in Anchorage, though a Honolulu recovery cannot be ruled out. A flight around 99020700 is also likely; this flight would recover in Honolulu.
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
NATURE OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: (1) First wave of large-scale low pressure system reaching the Washington-Oregon-northern California coast, producing a total of more than 10 inches of precipitation. This may be the most significant weather event so far this winter.
TIME OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: 99020612(-99020700)
LOCATION OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: 42.5N 125W
FLIGHT PLAN BASED ON SENSITIVITY RESULTS FROM: Ensemble Transform technique, using ECMWF ensemble from 99020112 (time windows for calculations: 99020500-99020612, 99020500-99020700
COMMENTS: Sensitivity charts and other related information will be available
at:
http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/targobs/target/targetedobs.html
Please pass to Sean White
REQUEST FOR G-lV FLIGHT FROM NCEP
ALL COORDINATES ARE IN LAT-LON
ALL TIMES ARE YYMMDDHHMM IN UTC TIME
DATE AND TIME OF REQUEST: 9902041800
DATE AND TIME OF TAKE-OFF: Around 9902052000
COORDINATES OF TURNING POINTS ON FLIGHT:
Anchorage
44N 165W
38N 152W Control time: 9902060100
(no later than: 9902060600)
Honolulu
DESIRED LEVEL OF DROPSONDE RELEASE: Highest level possible
TOTAL NUMBER OF DROPSONDES REQUESTED: Approximately 20-25
COORDINATES OF DROPSONDES: At each turning point, plus, on average, one every 20 mins between turning points. If a sonde fails, please try to replace it immediately. The most sensitive area is between 55N and 35N latitudes; the frequency of sondes there could be increased to 15 mins (and decreased elsewhere, if necessary). Mel Shapiro will insert additional dropsondes between 45N and 35N that will not be transmitted in real time.
COMMENTS: We would like to have the flight centered around 00 Z. We expect that the next flight with the G-lV will be centered around 99020700, recovering in Honolulu. There can be no flight around 99020800 (hard down day). The following flight may take place around 99021000.
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
NATURE OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: A large-scale low pressure system reaching the Washington-Oregon-northern California coast, producing a total of more than 8 inches of precipitation in northern California. This may be one of the most significant weather events so far this winter on the west coast.
TIME OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: 99020700
LOCATION OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: 42.5N 125W
FLIGHT PLAN BASED ON SENSITIVITY RESULTS FROM: Ensemble Transform technique, using ECMWF ensemble from 99020312 (time window for calculations: 99020600-99020700
COMMENTS: This is a joint flight with SCATCAT. Sensitivity charts and
other related information will be available at:
http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/targobs/target/targetedobs.html
Please pass to Sean White
REQUEST FOR G-lV FLIGHT FROM NCEP
ALL COORDINATES ARE IN LAT-LON
ALL TIMES ARE YYMMDDHHMM IN UTC TIME
DATE AND TIME OF REQUEST: 9902051800
DATE AND TIME OF TAKE-OFF: Around 9902062000
COORDINATES OF TURNING POINTS ON FLIGHT:
Honolulu
38N 160W
45N 168W Control time: 9902070000
(no later than: 9902070600)
37N 172W
Honolulu
DESIRED LEVEL OF DROPSONDE RELEASE: Highest level possible
TOTAL NUMBER OF DROPSONDES REQUESTED: Approximately 20-25
COORDINATES OF DROPSONDES: At each turning point, plus, on average, one every 20 mins between turning points. If a sonde fails, please try to replace it immediately. The most sensitive area is north of 30N; the frequency of sondes there could be increased to 15 mins (and decreased elsewhere, if necessary). Mel Shapiro may insert additional dropsondes that will not be transmitted in real time.
COMMENTS: No flight around 99020800. It is likely we will request the next flight with the G-lV for 99021000 (though a flight around 99020900 cannot be ruled out yet). This flight would recover in Honolulu. The following (and last) flight with the G-lV may be around 99021200 (or 99021300); we may request that this last flight be recovered on the west coast.
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
NATURE OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: A low pressure wave reaching the Oregon-California coast, traveling on a large-scale low pressure system, producing a total of 4-5 inches of precipitation in northern California, on top of 5 inches expected from earlier waves. The flight is in support of forecasts for this very significant weather system.
TIME OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: 99020800
LOCATION OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: 40N 122.5W
FLIGHT PLAN BASED ON SENSITIVITY RESULTS FROM: Ensemble Transform technique, using NCEP ensemble from 99020500 and ECMWF ensemble from 99020312 and 99020412 (time window for calculations: 99020700-99020800
COMMENTS: Sensitivity charts and other related information will be available
at:
http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/targobs/target/targetedobs.html
REQUEST FOR G-lV FLIGHT FROM NCEP
ALL COORDINATES ARE IN LAT-LON
ALL TIMES ARE YYMMDDHHMM IN UTC TIME
DATE AND TIME OF REQUEST: 9902071800
DATE AND TIME OF TAKE-OFF: Around 9902082000
COORDINATES OF TURNING POINTS ON FLIGHT:
Honolulu
40N 161W
45N 152W Control time: 9902090000
(no later than: 9902090600)
38N 148W
Honolulu
DESIRED LEVEL OF DROPSONDE RELEASE: Highest level possible
TOTAL NUMBER OF DROPSONDES REQUESTED: Approximately 20-25
COORDINATES OF DROPSONDES: At each turning point, plus, on average, one every 20 mins between turning points. If a sonde fails, please try to replace it immediately. The most sensitive area is north of 35N; the frequency of sondes there could be increased to 15 mins (and decreased elsewhere, if necessary). Mel Shapiro may insert additional dropsondes that will not be transmitted in real time.
COMMENTS: It is likely we will request the next (and last) flight with the G-lV for 99021000 (though a flight around 99021100 cannot be ruled out yet). This flight would recover in Honolulu.
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
NATURE OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: A deep low pressure system over the eastern US producing up to 2 inches of precipitation, potentially leading to severe weather events.
TIME OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: 99021200
LOCATION OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: 40N 85W
FLIGHT PLAN BASED ON SENSITIVITY RESULTS FROM: Ensemble Transform technique, using NCEP ensemble from 99020700 and ECMWF ensemble from 99020612 (time window for calculations: 99020900-99021200
COMMENTS: This is the first time that no west coast verification region
is identified for a flight. For this reason, and also because the time
window is relatively long (72 hours) we consider this mission as experimental
(despite the fact that it was requested by HPC). Sensitivity charts and
other related information will be available at:
http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/targobs/target/targetedobs.html
REQUEST FOR G-lV FLIGHT FROM NCEP
ALL COORDINATES ARE IN LAT-LON
ALL TIMES ARE YYMMDDHHMM IN UTC TIME
DATE AND TIME OF REQUEST: 9902081800
DATE AND TIME OF TAKE-OFF: Around 9902092000
COORDINATES OF TURNING POINTS ON FLIGHT:
Honolulu
47N 160W
42.5N 147.5W Control time: 9902100100
(no later than: 9902100600)
Honolulu
DESIRED LEVEL OF DROPSONDE RELEASE: Highest level possible
TOTAL NUMBER OF DROPSONDES REQUESTED: Approximately 20-25
COORDINATES OF DROPSONDES: At each turning point, plus, on average, one every 20 mins between turning points. If a sonde fails, please try to replace it immediately. The most sensitive area is north of 36N on all legs; the frequency of sondes there could be increased to 15 mins (and decreased elsewhere, if necessary). Mel Shapiro will insert additional dropsondes that will not be transmitted in real time.
COMMENTS: If the flight is too long, move the first turning point south along 160W. This is a combined flight with SCATCAT. Flight hours for one additional flight may become available in which case we may request a last flight centered around 99021200, recovering on the west coast.
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
NATURE OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: Large scale low pressure system bringing heavy precipitation into British Columbia and northwest Washington.A deep low pressure system over the eastern US producing up to 2 inches of precipitation, potentially leading to severe weather events.
TIME OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: 99021200
LOCATION OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEM: 50N 125W
FLIGHT PLAN BASED ON SENSITIVITY RESULTS FROM: Ensemble Transform technique, using NCEP ensemble from 99020800 and ECMWF ensemble from 99020712 (time window for calculations: 99021000-99021200
COMMENTS: This flight also covers an area that is moderately sensitive
to a deep forecast low over the eastern US around 99021200 (42.5N 85W).
Sensitivity charts and other related information will be available at:
http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/targobs/target/targetedobs.html