December 4, 2008 Meeting Summary |
Qingfu Liu presented a summary of the HWRF cycling system and creation
of guess fields before describing his work with hurricane initialization
in the HWRF. Specifically he discussed the 5 potential changes to be
included in the 2009 HWRF. Such changes included changing the minimum
surface pressure and making the surface pressure-wind relationship more
consistent with the model instead of the observation, redefining the
filter domain size based on the observation, setting a radius of maximum
wind and radius of outmost isobar limit for small-sized storms,
searching for maximum wind position at the 10m height instead of first
level height, and finally, increasing the search area of the maximum
wind for high latitude storms.
Zhan Zhang described his and Bob Tuleya's work investigating the HWRF
surface temperature forecast over land. The direct cause of cold
land-surface temperature was found to be sporadic zero-values of the
radiative surface fluxes in the nest. Such surface fluxes are used to
predict land-surface temperature. The ocean model was not affected
because another, equivalent variable was used by the coupler. The
sporadic behavior was caused by using an irregular interval between
radiation call in the nest. The proposed fix to the problem is to call
radiation in the nest at fixed intervals, such as every 9 minutes, which
eliminates almost all problems. Small boundary noise in the land-surface
temperature remains possibly due to LSM-predicted land-surface
temperature along the nest boundary. Zhan and Bob noted that the biggest
impact of this correction was that storms would remain more robust over
land, and testing to determine impacts on track and intensity skill is
to come. Other proposed solutions include inputing a different argument
for different situations with more investigation into this to follow.