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6th NCEP/NWS Ensemble User Workshop
NCEP/National Weather Service
| Download Summary here | |||||
| Download Agenda here | |||||
| Day 1 | Tuesday, 25 March, 2014 | Presentation | |||
| Registration and Welcome | |||||
| Bill Lapenta | NCEP Director's opening remarks | ||||
| Session 1: NCEP Ensemble Systems | Chair: Yuejian Zhu | ||||
| Steve Tracton | NCEP (Retired) | EPS at NCEP: A historical perspective | |||
| Jun Du | NCEP | SREF | |||
| Geoff DiMego | NCEP | Plan of the future regional ensemble | |||
| Dingchen Hou | NCEP | GEFS | |||
| Henrique Alves | NCEP | Wave Ensemble | |||
| Suranhana Saha | NCEP | CFSv3 Draft Plan | |||
| H.vd. Dool/M Pena | NCEP | NMME / IMME | |||
| Yuejian Zhu | NCEP | NAEFS Status | |||
| Yuejian Zhu | NCEP | Summary of 5th Ensemble Users Workshop | |||
| Discussion | Hogsett/Bright | ||||
| Session 2: NCEP Centers Review | Chair: Jun Du | ||||
| Israel Jirak | NCEP | SPC's Review | |||
| David Bright | NCEP | AWC's Review | |||
| Wallace Hogsett | NCEP | WPC's Review | |||
| Joseph Sienkiewicz | NCEP | OPC's Review | |||
| Dave Unger | NCEP | CPC's Review | |||
| Richard Pasch | NCEP | TPC's Review | |||
| Session 2: Regions/Private Sector | Chair: Dingchen Hou | ||||
| Mark Fresch | OHD | OHD's Review | |||
| Rich Grumm | NWS | East Region | |||
| Jerry Wiedenfeld | NWS | Center Region | |||
| Trevor Alcott | NWS | West Region | |||
| Brian Kolts | First Energy | First Energy | |||
| Discussion | Hogsett/Jirak | ||||
| Day 2 | Wednesday, 26 March, 2014 | ||||
| Session 3: Post-Process | Chair: Matthew Peroutka | ||||
| Bo Cui | NCEP | NAEFS SPP: Status and plan | |||
| Bruce Veenhuis | MDL | DABMA | |||
| Mike Scheuerer | ESRL | GEFS reforecast dataset and products | |||
| Hong Guan | NCEP | NAEFS SPP: Improvement | |||
| Dan Collins | NCEP | Improved Week-2 forecasts | |||
| Kathy Gilbert | MDL | Overview of SS/GM Blender project | |||
| Tom Hamill | ESRL | GEFS reforecast summary from NPSR | |||
| Discussion | Peroutka/Collins | ||||
| Session 4: Special Projects and International Centers | Chair: Zoltan Toth | ||||
| Malaquias Pena/ Edmund Chang | NCEP/Stony Brook | THORPEX update | |||
| Dave McCarren/Fred Toepfer | ESPC/NUOPC | ESPC/NUOPC | |||
| Carolyn Reynolds | NRL | NRL | |||
| Roberto Buizza | ECMWF | ECMWF | |||
| Stephane Beauregard | CMC | CMC | |||
| Yun Chen | CMA | CMA | |||
| Session 4: Special Projects and Centers | Chair: Jordan Alpert | ||||
| Evan Kuchera | AFWA | The Air Force Ensemble Prediction Suite | |||
| Mike Sestak | FNMOC | FNMOC | |||
| Jonq Gong Chern | CWB | CWB | |||
| Yves Pelletier | CMC | CMC | |||
| Huiling Yuan | CMA projects | Nanjing University | |||
| Alex Tien | MITRE Corporation | Application of SREF to air traffic flow management | |||
| Discussion | Toth/Pena | ||||
| Day 3 | Thursday | ||||
| Session 5: Products/Data/Verification | Chair: Malaquias Pena | ||||
| Binbin Zhou | NCEP | Meso-scale, aviation application | |||
| Jiayi Peng | NCEP | Hurricane genesis/verification | |||
| Tara Jensen | NCAR | Verification approaches and tools | |||
| Melissa Ou | NCEP | CPC's new verification web tools | |||
| Jordan Alpert | NCEP | Data access and NOMADS update | |||
| Dick Wobus/Bo Yang | NCEP | NAEFS data exchange | |||
| Discussion | Alpert/Wobus | ||||
| Session 6: Community development | Chair: Richard Wobus | ||||
| Zoltan Toth/Roman Krzysztofowicz | ESRL/ U. Virginia | BPE | |||
| Tom Hamill | ESRL | Intercomparison of methods for treating model uncertainty | |||
| Minghua Zheng | Stony Brook U | CSTAR program | |||
| Isidora Jonkov/Zoltan Toth | ESRL | DTC/DET's development | |||
| Zhan Zhang | NCEP | HFIP -HWRF ensemble | |||
| Summary | Yuejian Zhu | ||||
| Ensemble Products and Training | |||||
| Mike Sestak | FNMOC | Ensemble Verification | |||
| Mike Horner | AFWA | Ensemble Products at AFWA | |||
| Richard Grumm | NWS | EFS Products Use and Misuse | |||
| Mark Shaffer | Navy | Training for operational Navy | |||
| Bill Bua | UCAR | COMET Ensemble Training Module | |||
The workshop brought together developers and users of ensemble forecast products, as well as the research and the applications communities interested in the use of ensembles
Dates:
25-27 March 2014
Location:
NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction
5830 University Research Court
College Park, MD, USA
Objectives:
(1) Review progress on the generation and use of operational products since the 5th workshop that took place in 2011.
(2) Discuss plans for future efforts and collaborations
(3) Define actions to continue support the NWS in its transition from single value to probabilistic forecasting
Organizing Committee
Yuejian Zhu, EMC/NCEP/NWS (Yuejian.Zhu at noaa.gov)
Malaquias Peña, EMC/NCEP/NWS (Malaquias.Pena.Mendez at noaa.gov)
Jun Du, EMC/NCEP/NWS (Jun.Du at noaa.gov)
Dingchen Hou, EMC/NCEP/NWS (Dingchen.Hou at noaa.gov)
Barbara Brown, UCAR (bgb at ucar.edu)
Isidora Jankov, GSD-ESRL (Isidora.Jankov at noaa.gov)
Yuejian Zhu, EMC/NCEP/NWS (Yuejian.Zhu at noaa.gov)
Malaquias Peña, EMC/NCEP/NWS (Malaquias.Pena.Mendez at noaa.gov)
Jun Du, EMC/NCEP/NWS (Jun.Du at noaa.gov)
Dingchen Hou, EMC/NCEP/NWS (Dingchen.Hou at noaa.gov)
Barbara Brown, UCAR (bgb at ucar.edu)
Isidora Jankov, GSD-ESRL (Isidora.Jankov at noaa.gov)
IT Support
Mary Hart, EMC/NCEP/NWS (Mary.Hart at noaa.gov)The workshop is jointly organized by EMC and DTC
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